{"id":111472,"date":"2019-09-02T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2019-09-01T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/tnr.com.tw\/2019\/09\/02\/gartner-%e5%85%ac%e4%bd%882019%e5%b9%b4%e6%96%b0%e8%88%88%e6%8a%80%e8%a1%93%e7%99%bc%e5%b1%95%e9%80%b1%e6%9c%9f%e5%a0%b1%e5%91%8a\/"},"modified":"2019-09-02T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2019-09-01T16:00:00","slug":"gartner-%e5%85%ac%e4%bd%882019%e5%b9%b4%e6%96%b0%e8%88%88%e6%8a%80%e8%a1%93%e7%99%bc%e5%b1%95%e9%80%b1%e6%9c%9f%e5%a0%b1%e5%91%8a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tnr.com.tw\/?p=111472","title":{"rendered":"Gartner \u516c\u4f482019\u5e74\u65b0\u8208\u6280\u8853\u767c\u5c55\u9031\u671f\u5831\u544a"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5716\uff1a<\/strong>2019\u5e74\u65b0\u8208\u6280\u8853\u767c\u5c55\u9031\u671f\u3002\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1aGartner\uff082019\u5e748\u6708\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u4e94\u5927\u65b0\u8208\u79d1\u6280\u8da8\u52e2\uff1a\u611f\u6e2c\u8207\u884c\u52d5\u529b\u3001\u64f4\u589e\u4eba\u985e\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u5f8c\u50b3\u7d71\u904b\u7b97\u53ca\u901a\u8a0a\u3001\u6578\u4f4d\u751f\u614b\u7cfb\u3001\u5148\u9032\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u8207\u5206\u6790\u6280\u8853<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\u30102019\u5e749\u67082\u65e5\u3011\u570b\u969b\u7814\u7a76\u66a8\u9867\u554f\u6a5f\u69cbGartner\u57282019\u5e74\u65b0\u8208\u6280\u8853\u767c\u5c55\u9031\u671f\u5831\u544a\uff08Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2019\uff0c\u898b\u57161\uff09\u516c\u5e0329\u9805\u5fc5\u9808\u89c0\u5bdf\u7684\u6280\u8853\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e2d\u6b78\u7d0d\u51fa\u4e94\u5927\u91cd\u9ede\u65b0\u8208\u79d1\u6280\u8da8\u52e2\u5c07\u5275\u9020\u4e26\u63d0\u4f9b\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u9ad4\u9a57\u3002\u4f01\u696d\u82e5\u80fd\u5584\u52a0\u5229\u7528\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\uff08AI\uff09\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u91cd\u8981\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u4fbf\u80fd\u5f9e\u65b0\u8208\u6578\u4f4d\u751f\u614b\u7cfb\u4e2d\u7372\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Gartner\u7814\u7a76\u526f\u7e3d\u88c1Brian Burke<\/a>\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u79d1\u6280\u5275\u65b0\u80fd\u529b\u5df2\u6210\u70ba\u95dc\u9375\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u512a\u52e2\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u79d1\u6280\u8b8a\u9769\u8173\u6b65\u6301\u7e8c\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u7a81\u7834\u6027\u6280\u8853\u4ea6\u4e0d\u65b7\u5c0d\u5e02\u5834\u5e36\u4f86\u6311\u6230\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u6700\u5177\u5275\u65b0\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u5546\u696d\u548c\u79d1\u6280\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\uff0c\u90fd\u5fc5\u9808\u975e\u5e38\u52aa\u529b\u624d\u80fd\u8ddf\u4e0a\u8da8\u52e2\u3002\u79d1\u6280\u5275\u65b0\u4e3b\u7ba1\u61c9\u5229\u7528\u65b0\u8208\u6280\u8853\u767c\u5c55\u9031\u671f\u5831\u544a\u88e1\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u5275\u65b0\u8f2a\u5ed3\uff0c\u8a55\u4f30\u65b0\u8208\u6280\u8853\u7684\u6f5b\u5728\u5546\u6a5f\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u4e94\u5927\u65b0\u8208\u79d1\u6280\u8da8\u52e2\u4e4b\u4e00\uff1a\u611f\u6e2c\u8207\u884c\u52d5\u529b<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7d50\u5408\u4e86\u611f\u6e2c\u6280\u8853\u8207\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u7684\u6a5f\u5668\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u80fd\u66f4\u4e86\u89e3\u56db\u5468\u74b0\u5883\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u8db3\u5920\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u529b\u53ca\u64cd\u63a7\u7269\u4ef6\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u5c0d\u65bc\u7269\u806f\u7db2\uff08IoT\uff09\u8207\u5176\u6240\u8490\u96c6\u4e4b\u5927\u91cf\u8cc7\u6599\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u611f\u6e2c\u6280\u8853\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u8981\u7d20\uff0c\u800c\u64c1\u6709\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u7684\u6a5f\u5668\u80fd\u7372\u53d6\u591a\u6a23\u5316\u7684\u6d1e\u5bdf\uff0c\u4e26\u5c07\u9019\u4e9b\u8cc7\u8a0a\u61c9\u7528\u5728\u5404\u7a2e\u60c5\u5883\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u8209\u4f8b\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u672a\u4f8610\u5e74\u5229\u7528AR\u96f2\u5c07\u53ef\u7e6a\u88fd3D\u4e16\u754c\u5730\u5716\uff0c\u5275\u9020\u65b0\u7684\u4e92\u52d5\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4fc3\u751f\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u5546\u696d\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u4f7f\u4f01\u696d\u5f97\u4ee5\u85c9\u7531\u5be6\u9ad4\u7a7a\u9593\u7372\u5229\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u9810\u671f\u4f7f\u7528\u611f\u6e2c\u53ca\u884c\u52d5\u529f\u80fd\u7372\u76ca\u7684\u4f01\u696d\uff0c\u61c9\u5c07\u4e0b\u5217\u5e7e\u7a2e\u6280\u8853\u7d0d\u5165\u8003\u91cf\uff1a3D\u611f\u6e2c\u651d\u5f71\u6a5f\u3001AR\u96f2\u3001\u8f15\u578b\u8ca8\u7269\u904b\u9001\u7121\u4eba\u6a5f\u3001\u8f09\u5ba2\u7121\u4eba\u6a5f\uff08flying autonomous vehicle\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53caLevel 4\u548cLevel 5\u7684\u81ea\u52d5\u99d5\u99db\u6280\u8853\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u4e94\u5927\u65b0\u8208\u79d1\u6280\u8da8\u52e2\u4e4b\u4e8c\uff1a\u64f4\u589e\u4eba\u985e\u80fd\u529b\uff08<\/strong>augmented human<\/strong>\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u64f4\u589e\u4eba\u985e\u80fd\u529b\u6280\u8853\u7684\u9032\u5c55\uff0c\u8b93\u4eba\u5011\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u529b\u548c\u9ad4\u80fd\u5f97\u4ee5\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u4eba\u9ad4\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u6253\u9020\u5177\u6709\u7279\u6b8a\u529f\u80fd\u7684\u7fa9\u80a2\uff0c\u8d85\u8d8a\u4eba\u985e\u81ea\u7136\u7684\u9ad4\u80fd\u6975\u9650\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u8d85\u4eba\u822c\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u4ee5\u64f4\u589e\u4eba\u985e\u80fd\u529b\u70ba\u91cd\u9ede\u7684\u65b0\u8208\u6280\u8853\u5305\u62ec\u751f\u7269\u6676\u7247\uff08biochip\uff09\u3001\u64ec\u4eba\u5316\uff08personification\uff09\u3001\u64f4\u589e\u667a\u6167\uff08augmented intelligence<\/a>\uff09\u3001\u60c5\u7dd2\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\uff08emotion AI\uff09\u3001\u6c89\u6d78\u5f0f\u8fa6\u516c\u5ba4\uff08immersive workspace\uff09\u548c\u751f\u7269\u79d1\u6280\uff08\u4eba\u5de5\u7d44\u7e54\u57f9\u990a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u4e94\u5927\u65b0\u8208\u79d1\u6280\u8da8\u52e2\u4e4b\u4e09\uff1a\u5f8c\u50b3\u7d71\uff08<\/strong>postclassical<\/strong>\uff09\u904b\u7b97\u53ca\u901a\u8a0a<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u4f86\uff0c\u50b3\u7d71\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u904b\u7b97\u3001\u901a\u8a0a\u53ca\u6574\u5408\u6280\u8853\u5df2\u900f\u904e\u6539\u5584\u50b3\u7d71\u67b6\u69cb\u800c\u7372\u5f97\u91cd\u5927\u9032\u5c55\u3002\u6b63\u5982\u6469\u723e\u5b9a\u5f8b\uff08Moore’s Law\uff09\u6240\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u4e2d\u592e\u8655\u7406\u5668\uff08CPU\uff09\u901f\u5ea6\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u5feb\u3001\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u5bc6\u5ea6\u66f4\u9ad8\u4e14\u541e\u5410\u91cf\u4e0d\u65b7\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u6280\u8853\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u4ee3\u5c07\u63a1\u7528\u8207\u76ee\u524d\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u67b6\u69cb\uff0c\u4e0d\u50c5\u6709\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u624b\u6cd5\uff0c\u4e5f\u80fd\u900f\u904e\u6f38\u9032\u5f0f\u6539\u5584\u5e36\u4f86\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u8209\u4f8b\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u4f4e\u5730\u7403\u8ecc\u9053\uff08LEO\uff09\u885b\u661f\u53ef\u63d0\u4f9b\u904d\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u7684\u4f4e\u5ef6\u9072\u7db2\u969b\u7db2\u8def\u9023\u7dda\u529f\u80fd\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u7531\u5c0f\u578b\u885b\u661f\u7d44\u6210\u7684\u661f\u7cfb\uff08constellation\uff09\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u53ef\u91dd\u5c0d\u76ee\u524d\u672a\u80fd\u9023\u7db2\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\uff08\u5168\u7403\u5360\u6bd448%\uff09\u63d0\u4f9b\u9023\u7db2\u670d\u52d9\uff0c\u66ff\u904e\u53bb\u7121\u6cd5\u63d0\u4f9b\u6b64\u670d\u52d9\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u5340\u5e36\u4f86\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u7684\u65b0\u6a5f\u6703\u3002Brian Burke\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u300c\u76ee\u524d\u885b\u661f\u6578\u91cf\u4ecd\u8f03\u5c11\uff0c\u6b64\u6280\u8853\u9084\u5728\u767c\u5c55\u521d\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0d\u793e\u6703\u53ca\u5546\u696d\u5e36\u4f86\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u4f01\u696d\u61c9\u8a55\u4f30\u7684\u6280\u8853\u5305\u62ec5G\u3001\u6b21\u4e16\u4ee3\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u3001\u4f4e\u5730\u7403\u8ecc\u9053\u885b\u661f\u7cfb\u7d71\u548c\u5948\u7c73\u7d1a3D\u5217\u5370\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u4e94\u5927\u65b0\u8208\u79d1\u6280\u8da8\u52e2\u4e4b\u56db\uff1a<\/strong>\u6578\u4f4d\u751f\u614b\u7cfb<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6578\u4f4d\u751f\u614b\u7cfb\u70ba\u4e00\u7fa4\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u5b58\u7684\u53c3\u8207\u8005\uff08\u4f01\u696d\u3001\u4eba\u8207\u7269\u4ef6\uff09\u76f8\u4e92\u5206\u4eab\u6578\u4f4d\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u9054\u6210\u4e92\u60e0\u76ee\u7684\u3002\u6578\u4f4d\u5316\u5df2\u9020\u6210\u50b3\u7d71\u50f9\u503c\u93c8\u5d29\u89e3\uff0c\u9444\u9020\u66f4\u5f37\u5927\u3001\u66f4\u5177\u5f48\u6027\u8207\u5fa9\u539f\u529b\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u50b3\u905e\u7db2\u8def\uff0c\u4e0d\u65b7\u6f14\u8b8a\u4ee5\u5275\u9020\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u65b0\u7522\u54c1\u53ca\u670d\u52d9\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

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\u4e94\u5927\u65b0\u8208\u79d1\u6280\u8da8\u52e2\u4e4b\u4e94\uff1a<\/strong>\u5148\u9032\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u8207\u5206\u6790\u6280\u8853<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5148\u9032\u5206\u6790\u6280\u8853\u901a\u5e38\u5229\u7528\u50b3\u7d71\u5546\u696d\u667a\u6167\uff08BI\uff09\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u5148\u9032\u6280\u8853\u53ca\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u81ea\u52d5\u6216\u534a\u81ea\u52d5\u6aa2\u8996\u8cc7\u6599\u548c\u5167\u5bb9\u3002Brian Burke\u8a8d\u70ba\uff1a\u300c\u5ef6\u9072\u654f\u611f\u5ea6\u9ad8\uff08\u5982\u81ea\u52d5\u5c0e\u822a\uff09\u3001\u6613\u53d7\u7db2\u8def\u4e2d\u65b7\u5f71\u97ff\uff08\u5982\u9060\u7aef\u76e3\u63a7\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u8a9e\u8a00\u8655\u7406NLP\u3001\u81c9\u90e8\u8fa8\u8b58\uff09\uff0c\u548c\u8cc7\u6599\u5bc6\u96c6\uff08\u5982\u5f71\u7247\u5206\u6790\uff09\u7b49\u61c9\u7528\uff0c\u5df2\u9010\u6f38\u63d0\u9ad8\u908a\u7de3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u7684\u63a1\u7528\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u503c\u5f97\u8ffd\u8e64\u7684\u76f8\u95dc\u6280\u8853\u5305\u62ec\u81ea\u9069\u61c9\u6a5f\u5668\u5b78\u7fd2\uff08ML\uff09\u3001\u908a\u7de3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u3001\u908a\u7de3\u5206\u6790\u3001\u53ef\u89e3\u91cb\u6027\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\uff08explainable AI\uff09\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u5e73\u53f0\u5373\u670d\u52d9\uff08AI PaaS\uff09\u3001\u9077\u79fb\u5b78\u7fd2\uff08transfer learning\uff09\u3001\u751f\u6210\u5c0d\u6297\u7db2\u8def\uff08generative adversarial network\uff09\u548c\u5716\u5f62\u5206\u6790\uff08graph analytics\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

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